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Post by LWPD on Aug 13, 2007 3:43:54 GMT -5
It all comes down to the action with-in the Sportsbooks that the system uses to calculate the odds. Remember the lines are an average of Sportsbook.com, BetOnFighting.com and Bodog.com. If only one book has odds up at this time then the average is on hold. The marque matches (the three covered) already have activity and calculable odds to build a working average...yet that too will fluctuate. As we get closer to the event and more of the books take action...look for more of the undercard to show up. Does that mean we'll be able to change our bets? I can't test it myself because I strategically saved all my money waiting for the prelims  I emailed the admin on that one...I'll let you know when I get a response. |
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Post by LWPD on Aug 17, 2007 18:35:43 GMT -5
If anyone is having any issues logging in or registering just send me a PM and I'll do my best to get it straightened out. Registrations end this Sunday.
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Post by Knapik on Aug 20, 2007 16:46:58 GMT -5
How can we see who is all in the league?
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Post by LWPD on Aug 20, 2007 18:19:01 GMT -5
How can we see who is all in the league? Unfortunately the system doesn't show league participants until there's a record of results...which will be after the first round of betting occurs this Saturday. Here's a quick hit list of those currently set to compete: LWPD Knapik Neilybob Havoc Mike M Jon E Diamond SE Harmon Shelton Mike McKinney HOFClemons JaimeOD |
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Post by Knapik on Aug 20, 2007 23:14:54 GMT -5
Thats a nice roundup. I'm trying to get Curt Ligot to join as well, although 10 is a nice, round number.
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Post by LWPD on Aug 23, 2007 18:44:59 GMT -5
Prelims for UFC 74 are finally up! Here's the whole card:
-140 Gabriel Gonzaga vs Randy Couture +110
+195 Josh Koscheck vs Georges St Pierre -245
-280 Joe Stevenson vs Kurt Pellegrino +220
+345 Alberto Crane vs Roger Huerta -425
+190 Patrick Cote vs Kendall Grove -230
+225 Ryan Jensen vs Thales Leites -285
+185 David Heath vs Renato Sobral -225
+145 Antoni Hardonk vs Frank Mir -175
+115 Marcus Aurelio vs Clay Guida -145
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Post by Knapik on Aug 23, 2007 19:30:09 GMT -5
When I picked, did that pick get locked? Crap I hope not, that Pellegrino line is looking NICE.
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Post by JamieOD on Aug 24, 2007 2:44:44 GMT -5
I'm starting to get a little worried betting so much on Couture. Never mind, I got to keep the faith for the guy.
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Post by LWPD on Aug 24, 2007 3:42:13 GMT -5
I'm starting to get a little worried betting so much on Couture. Never mind, I got to keep the faith for the guy. RC has the potential to outlast Gonzaga and take a decision...but it won't be easy. I stayed away from that one. |
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Post by LWPD on Aug 25, 2007 10:36:09 GMT -5
Tonight's the night! I'll send a quick PM reminder to everyone. Good luck.
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Post by hofclemens on Aug 25, 2007 12:42:49 GMT -5
I went with Cote over Grove in a minor upset. Still waiting for Cote to breakout.
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Post by dukedave on Aug 25, 2007 13:05:53 GMT -5
I bet all my money tonight. Hopefully I don't lose everything and have to rest after one event.
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Post by MikeMcKinney on Aug 25, 2007 13:45:47 GMT -5
I bet it all also..hopefully i have something to show for it afterwards.
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Post by dukedave on Aug 25, 2007 14:04:56 GMT -5
The Havoc picks of the week. In order of confidence.
1. Maximus
2. Joe Daddy
3. GSP
4. The Nature
5. Hardonk
No one can say I didn't share. If they don't show Guida/Aurelio I am going to be super pi$$ed.
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Post by Knapik on Aug 25, 2007 15:21:49 GMT -5
I put a little bit on Couture and Cote, a medium bet on Koscheck and a big bet on Pellegrino.
This is really going to make watching the card even more exciting!
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Post by LWPD on Aug 25, 2007 18:10:39 GMT -5
Worst case scenario I'll still have $80 in reserves. Here's my breakdown:
+195 Josh Koscheck: Blanket baby...blanket for 3 rounds with a takedown here and there for the judges decision. This is winnable. Once Kos hits the double he can conservatively dominate position with 'just enough' activity to justify a stalemate (could be very boring...but a win is a win)
+345 Alberto Crane: at those odds this was worth a shot...Huerta is nowhere near the fighter UFC is making him out to be
+190 Patrick Cote: PC's experience combined with the TUF effect creating a lopsided line make this attractive enough to take a shot at
+225 Ryan Jensen: this one was last minute...Thales Leites came in over and barely made weight...at +225 it's worth a conservative play
+145 Antoni Hardonk: this one really stood out...could be a gift
+115 Marcus Aurelio: another potential gift...MA should be the favorite
Brock Lesnar's going to be at tonight's show...no word on whether he's secretly signed with UFC or is just going into business for himself!
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Post by dukedave on Aug 25, 2007 18:25:35 GMT -5
Ah, I see. LWPD always the fan of the underdog.
BTW - Had I conseved my money and not bet on the Main Events I would have bet $150 on Aurelio. If I had the know-how I'd probably bet 200 online on him but that is a habit I want to steer clear of.
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Post by Knapik on Aug 25, 2007 22:32:40 GMT -5
Man, Pellegrino could have won that. Damn!
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Post by dukedave on Aug 26, 2007 0:06:27 GMT -5
Man, Pellegrino could have won that. Damn! Yeah, up until the fight started and Joe Daddy whupped his a$$ for 15 minutes. Up until that point, yeah, he could've won. |
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Post by hofclemens on Aug 26, 2007 0:04:57 GMT -5
sounded like a good show too bad I missed it.
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